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Steve Hay's avatar

Not sure what is intended by the "rotational player" label, but unless he regresses I expect Khyiris Tonga to play upwards of 45% of snaps and I don't believe ONL, particularly coming off an ACL repair, can press Tonga for the DT2 spot in 2026.

Among DTs from 2022-2025 Tonga has been 75th percentile in run stop rate and 84th percentile in true pass set pass rush win rate. The latter is huge for a DT who mostly aligns in the A gap, something nobody expected of Tonga when he first entered the league. Stops play, wins pay.

As is typical for DTs, Tonga's missed tackle rate is the slowest developmental element, going from 20.0% -> 15.6% -> 12.5% -> 9.1%. If he can maintain 9.1% (good), or even improve further, he should be a fantastic addition with the exact body type 6'2"/325 the Chiefs sought plus good burst and speed.

Absent regression, Tonga is a likely DT2 ahead of ONL, and I'm a big believer in ONL.

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