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Curtis's avatar

Great article. I think the defense is due a regression, both because of the volatility of defense in general and because they have weaknesses compared to the roster last year at all three levels. Omenihu will likely be out for a significant chunk of the season. Hopefully, FAU takes a step forward, but that is a hope and not a sure thing. They have not replaced Gay. Tranquill will start there, of course, but it means one injury at the position and we are into depth pieces that haven't seen huge numbers of snaps on defense. We lost not only Sneed but Edwards, and Cook for that matter is coming off a significant injury. Again, we hope Williams and Watson (and maybe Johnson) are in line for an increase in snaps at corner, but they have massive shoes to fill. I like the draft pick at safety, but he is a rookie.

I don't want to seem a downer, but it is by no means a sure thing that the defense can repeat its 2023 performance, and if it falls to 2022 level, then the offense will have to improve significantly to compensate. I don't think it will be the best team of the Mahomes era - 2020 is still the best for me even though we lost that Super Bowl. The offense should be better (is Kelce on a decline/can Worthy contribute/how long is Rice's suspension are the key questions) and the defense likely worse. We'll definitely be a contender, but I don't think anything is a given at this point.

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