Offensive Draft Depth: 2025

The latest newsletter from KCSN Sports Data Scientist, Joseph Hefner

We are three weeks out from the draft, which means it’s finally time to start paying attention to all those mock drafts and big boards we’ve been seeing for the past month. Huzzah!! Those boards change quite a bit in March and early April, but they settle down a few weeks after the Combine. That means I can break out one of my favorite draft graphics for the next two weeks.

Each year, I take a look at every offensive and defensive position in the draft (I maintain that special teams is just a fiction to give Dave Toub meaning). I look at how many players at each position are drafted at every point in the draft over the past 5 years, and then I look at how that compares to this year’s draft. That tells us whether this is a bad year for a position, or an average, or great year.

To get those numbers for this year’s draft, I use Expected Draft Position (EDP) from MockDraftDatabase’s consensus big boards. Basically, this is the pick that players are expected to be taken at, based on a ton of different big boards. These boards are not perfect, by any means, but they give a very good idea of where film gurus and draft analysts think players will go, so we can intuit the general feel of a draft very easily.

Some random offensive numbers:
6 of the top 10 picks are expected to be offense.
10 of the top 20
22 of the top 50
53 of the top 100